Halfway through the 2009 US cotton season, analysts say the crop is shaping up to be between 12.42 million and 12.56 million bales, which is about 750,000 bales less than the USDA’s July 10 estimate, according to Southeast Farm Press.
There remains considerable uncertainty about the crop in Texas — which depends largely on adequate moisture falling on its dryland crop, the publication reported.
“Over 3 million acres of the 4.9 million acres planted in Texas is dryland, said Carl Anderson, extension specialist emeritus, Texas A&M University. “Because of dry planting conditions and extremely hot temperatures in early July, blowing sand and hail, I’m estimating that at least 1.35 million acres, or 27 percent of the 4.9 million acres planted, is apt to be abandoned.”
In the Southeast, Georgia is projected to be the region’s largest producer at 1.6 million bales, with North Carolina second, at a projected 600,000 bales. Overall, the Southeast is projected to produce about 3.1 million bales.
“For most Southeast and Mid-South states, we’re in a little bit better shape than we were a year ago at this time,” said O.A. Cleveland, an economist and professor emeritus, Mississippi State University.